|
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly ImprobableThis applies to our knowledge. When we try to collect information about the world around us, we tend to be guided by our biology, and our attention flows effortlessly toward the sensationalБЂ”not the relevant so much as the sensational. Somehow the guidance system has gone wrong in the process of our coevolution with our habitatБЂ”it was transplanted into a world in which the relevant is often boring, nonsensational. Furthermore, we think that if, say, two variables are causally linked, then a steady input in one variable should always yield a result in the other one. Our emotional apparatus is designed for linear causality. For instance, if you study every day, you expect to learn something in proportion to your studies. If you feel that you are not going anywhere, your emotions will cause you to become demoralized. But modern reality rarely gives us the privilege of a satisfying, linear, positive progression: you may think about a problem for a year and learn nothing; then, unless you are disheartened by the emptiness of the results and give up, something will come to you in a flash ...» | Код для вставки книги в блог HTML
phpBB
текст
|
|