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INNUMERACY: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its ConsequencesIf no member of the group presses the button, he'll allow each of you to leave safely. However, if some of you do press the button, the ones who do will be forced by the sadist to play Russian roulette, with a 95 percent chance of survival, while the ones who don't will be killed outright. Do you press the button and take the 95 percent chance of survival, and assume the cost of indirectly leading to the deaths of others, or do you resist your fear and not press the button and hope that no one else's fear gets the better of him? Wolf's dilemma often arises in situations where we fear we're going to be left behind if we don't watch out for ourselves. Now consider the case of two women who must make a brief, hurried transaction (let's suppose they're drug traffickers). The women exchange filled brown-paper bags on a street corner and depart quickly before checking the contents of the bag each has received. Before the meeting, each has the same option: to put in her bag the item of worth which the other wants (the cooperative option) or to fill it with shredded newspaper (the individualist option) ...» | Код для вставки книги в блог HTML
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